Academy of Labour and Social Relations
Institute for Advanced Training of Executives and Specialists
Moscow, Moscow, Russian Federation
Moscow, Moscow, Russian Federation
VAK Russia 5.2.5
The current complicated geopolitical and economic conditions of the development for the Russian Federation and the demographic problem determine both the national security and the international competitiveness of the country in the socio-economic sphere. It provides the relevance of the research. The purpose of the research is an attempt to forecast the prospects for addressing the demographic problem in the Russian Federation to increase the country's international competitiveness in the future. The demographic forecast of Rosstat using the PERT method considering the optimistic, realistic, and pessimistic scenario. Therefore, an assessment of the prospects for addressing the demographic problem in the Russian Federation in the next 20 years provides the novelty of the research. Moreover, according to the forecast period under consideration, the total population increase is at an average rate of 27,014 people per year due to the natural population increase (by 96%). However, it can not provide a positive dynamic. The practical significance the research consists in their implementation in the design of the effective geopolitical and economic conditions to address the demographic problem and ensure the international competitiveness of the Russian Federation.
forecast estimates; demographic problem; Russian Federation; country's international competitiveness; demographic forecast
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